OSU11.4%▲ +1.0ND11.2%+0.0ORE10.3%+0.0TEX9.6%+0.0UGA9.1%▲ +1.0IU8.2%+0.0MIA6.8%+0.0LSU5%+0.0TA&M2.8%+0.0TTU2.7%▲ +1.0ALA2.5%▲ +1.0OU2.1%▲ +1.0MISS1.9%+0.0MICH1.4%+0.0USC1.4%+0.0FLA1.3%+0.0TENN1.1%+0.0PSU1.1%+0.0WASH0.8%+0.0VT0.8%+0.0VAN0.8%+0.0UVA0.8%+0.0UTAH0.8%+0.0UNT0.8%+0.0UK0.8%+0.0TULN0.8%+0.0TCU0.8%+0.0SMU0.8%SC0.8%+0.0PITT0.8%

Real odds · 2026 CFB season

Find the edge the market missed.

Redshirt Analytics tracks real college football futures prices across Polymarket, Kalshi and ProphetX, builds a de-vigged consensus fair value, and shows you the cheapest place to trade every team.

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50 live contracts$70K volumePolymarket · Kalshi

Widest price gapNational Title

Oregon

to win the national title

Consensus

10.3%

Best price

11%

Price gap

2 pts

Polymarket: 13%Kalshi: 11%

Buy YES at 11% on Kalshi

Real prices as of August 8, 2026

Trading bonuses with our codes:Polymarket TGSWC Kalshi FADE ProphetX VAULT Novig VAULT

Live odds

Fair value vs the market

Liveas of August 8, 2026

#	Team	Fair ▼			Best price
1	Ohio State	11.4%	14%	13%	13%
2	Notre Dame	11.2%	13%	13%	13%
3	Oregon	10.3%	13%	11%	11%
4	Texas	9.6%	11%	12%	11%
5	Georgia	9.1%	11%	10%	10%
6	Indiana	8.2%	10%	9%	9%
7	Miami	6.8%	8%	8%	8%
8	LSU	5%	6%	6%	6%
9	Texas A&M	2.8%	3%	4%	3%
10	Texas Tech	2.7%	3%	4%	3%

Fair value is the de-vigged consensus across Polymarket and Kalshi. Best price is the cheapest venue to buy YES. Prices are real and move; not financial advice.

Biggest price gaps

OregonKalshi cheapest2 pts AlabamaPolymarket cheapest2 pts Ohio StateKalshi cheapest1 pts TexasPolymarket cheapest1 pts GeorgiaKalshi cheapest1 pts IndianaKalshi cheapest1 pts

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Title odds

Top title contenders

5Georgia9.1% · best 10%6Indiana8.2% · best 9%7Miami6.8% · best 8%8LSU5% · best 6%

Schedule

Week 1 top matchups

Week 1 · Sep 6, 2026 · neutral

How it works

Real prices, one fair value

Pull real prices

We read live futures prices straight from Polymarket, Kalshi and ProphetX. No estimates, no made-up numbers.

Build consensus

We strip each market's vig so prices sum to 100 percent, then average across venues for a fair value.

Find the best price

We surface the cheapest venue to back each team, so you trade at the best available price.

Latest analysis

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Oregon's 2026 national title contract carries a model fair value of 10.3%, with the cheapest price at 11c on Kalshi. Here is where the futures value sits.

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Win-Total Value: CFB Teams the Model Calls Mispriced

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Texas 2026 Outlook: Title Value and the Model's Edge

Texas 2026 title futures carry a model fair value of 9.6%, with the best price at 11c on Polymarket. Here is where the model stands and how the SEC race prices out.

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