Redshirt
TEX12.3%▼ -1.0UGA11.6%+0.0OSU11.2%▲ +1.0ND10.7%▼ -2.0MIA9.9%▲ +1.0IU8.8%▼ -1.0LSU4.4%▼ -4.0ORE4.3%+0.0FLA4.3%+0.0MISS4.3%▲ +3.0ALA1.6%▼ -1.0USC1.6%▲ +1.0TENN1.2%+0.0PSU1.2%+0.0TTU1%+0.0MICH0.9%+0.0TA&M0.8%▼ -2.0MSST0.8%+0.0WASH0.8%+0.0VT0.8%+0.0VAN0.8%+0.0UVA0.8%+0.0UTAH0.8%+0.0UNT0.8%+0.0UK0.8%+0.0TULN0.8%+0.0TCU0.8%+0.0SMU0.8%+0.0SC0.8%+0.0PITT0.8%+0.0
Real odds · 2026 CFB season

Find the edge the market missed.

Redshirt Analytics tracks real college football futures prices across Polymarket, Kalshi and ProphetX, builds a de-vigged consensus fair value, and shows you the cheapest place to trade every team.

51 live contracts$528K volumePolymarket · Kalshi
Widest price gapNational Title
Florida
to win the national title
Consensus
4.3%
Best price
2%
Price gap
5 pts
Polymarket: 7%Kalshi: 2%
Buy YES at 2% on Kalshi

Real prices as of September 23, 2026

Trading bonuses with our codes:Polymarket TGSWCKalshi FADEProphetX VAULTNovig VAULT
Live odds

Fair value vs the market

Liveas of September 23, 2026
#TeamFair ▼Polymarket logoKalshi logoBest price
1Texas12.3%14%13%Kalshi logo13%
2Georgia11.6%14%12%Kalshi logo12%
3Ohio State11.2%14%12%Kalshi logo12%
4Notre Dame10.7%13%12%Kalshi logo12%
5Miami9.9%12%11%Kalshi logo11%
6Indiana8.8%10%11%Polymarket logo10%
7LSU4.4%5%5%Polymarket logo5%
8Oregon4.3%6%4%Kalshi logo4%
9Florida4.3%7%2%Kalshi logo2%
10Ole Miss4.3%-6%Kalshi logo6%

Fair value is the de-vigged consensus across Polymarket and Kalshi. Best price is the cheapest venue to buy YES. Prices are real and move; not financial advice.

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Title odds

Top title contenders

Full ranking →
1
SEC
Texas
12.3%
title odds
best 13%
2
SEC
Georgia
11.6%
title odds
best 12%
3
Big Ten
Ohio State
11.2%
title odds
best 12%
4
Independent
Notre Dame
10.7%
title odds
best 12%
5Miami9.9% · best 11%6Indiana8.8% · best 10%7LSU4.4% · best 5%8Oregon4.3% · best 4%
Schedule

Week 4 top matchups

Full schedule →
Week 4 · Sep 26, 2026
Oregon
at USC
Matchup preview →
Week 4 · Sep 26, 2026
Texas
at Tennessee
Matchup preview →
Week 4 · Sep 26, 2026
Texas A&M
at LSU
Matchup preview →
Week 4 · Sep 26, 2026
Oklahoma
at Georgia
Matchup preview →
Week 4 · Sep 26, 2026
Ole Miss
at Florida
Matchup preview →
Week 4 · Sep 26, 2026
Iowa
at Michigan
Matchup preview →
How it works

Real prices, one fair value

01
Pull real prices

We read live futures prices straight from Polymarket, Kalshi and ProphetX. No estimates, no made-up numbers.

02
Build consensus

We strip each market's vig so prices sum to 100 percent, then average across venues for a fair value.

03
Find the best price

We surface the cheapest venue to back each team, so you trade at the best available price.

Latest analysis

From the desk

All analysis →
Analysis
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Kansas State 2026: No Title Price, Big 12 Model Read

Kansas State 2026 futures carry no national title price on Kalshi or Polymarket. Here is where the model stands, the Big 12 read, and the board it must clear.

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Analysis
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Kalshi vs Polymarket: The CFB Best-Price Scorecard

Kalshi vs Polymarket for college football prices: Kalshi posts the best price on 8 of 12 national title contracts, but Polymarket owns the tail. Here is the split.

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Analysis
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South Carolina 2026: No Title Price, SEC Value Read

South Carolina 2026 futures do not appear on the national title board, sitting below Alabama's 1.7% floor. Here is where the model stands and the SEC read.

Read · 5 min →

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